On Saturday, November 20, US President Joseph Biden turns 79 years old. Birthday is by definition a sad holiday. But in this case he is doubly sad. The first year after the victory of the democrat politician in the 2020 elections turned out to be not only difficult. Opinion polls show that the rating of the current owner of the White House is depressingly low. What is the reason for this unpleasant phenomenon for the American leader and what are the prospects – we talked about this with an expert.
Photo: AP < p style = "text-align: center;"> Doubtful polls
Birthday is the time when the birthday person receives gifts, but for Joe Biden his 79th birthday brings dubious “goodies”. According to the New York Post, the approval rating of the US president has fallen to new lows, mainly due to discontent among his Democratic base, and Republicans are approaching 2022 with historically high chances.
According to a poll conducted by the Washington Post – ABC News, only 41 percent of Americans approve of the actions of the head of the White House, which is 11 points less than in the spring. Biden's popularity also fell among his own party. According to the poll, 80 percent of Democrats today have a positive view of their party leader, up from 94 percent in June. That said, hardly 4 out of 10 Democrats strongly endorse Biden today, compared with about 7 out of 10 in June.
The fall in popularity of Biden came against the backdrop of criticism of his economic policy – inflation in the United States reached a 30-year high in October. Nearly three-quarters of respondents (70 percent) said the economy was in bad shape, and 38 percent of Americans surveyed described the state of the national economy as “bad”. According to the poll, half of those polled directly blame the president for the sharp rise in inflation.
Another recent case study also does not bode well for Joe Biden. According to a new poll by POLITICO/Morning Consult, voters are increasingly questioning the health and mental fitness of the President of the United States, the oldest person ever to become head of the United States. Only 40 percent of voters surveyed agreed with the statement that Biden was “healthy,” while 50 percent disagreed.
When asked whether Biden is mentally healthy, voter opinions were almost equally divided: 46 percent answered, yes, but 48 percent disagree. As POLITICO notes, this negative 2 point difference is in stark contrast to the figures obtained in October last year, when the majority of voters, with a difference of 21 points, believed that Joe Biden was mentally healthy.
The new poll came amid persistent questions about whether Biden will be able to run for re-election as president of America in three years, and the increasing concern of Democrats about the gerontocracy in their party. Biden made it clear that he could run again, but some longtime allies have expressed doubts about this.
“In short, the low rating of President Biden is associated with a number of objective and subjective factors,” says Doctor of Economics, Chief Researcher at the Institute of the USA and Canada of the Russian Academy of Sciences Vladimir VASILIEV . – Objective factors are that the policy pursued by the administration has led to very serious internal political and economic difficulties. Even, one might say, to a crisis situation.
The first thing the Biden administration faced was the failure of migration policy. America, which is now experiencing both the epidemic of the coronavirus and the sluggish pace of economic recovery, flooded across the border during this time, two million immigrants (both legal and illegal), which created an additional burden on the American economy and caused a sharp surge in tensions in the southern states and surrounding states. areas. This is due to the fact that migration flows are both crime and drugs, and an additional aggravation of the economic situation.
This is a common failure that is happening today at the border in the southern states. This is considered a disaster – absolutely man-made and provoked by the administration.
The second question is economics. The fact is that the hope for a quick economic revival turned out to be unjustified. This had two consequences. Since March, the inflationary spiral has begun to unfold. And at present, American inflation is breaking records of ten and thirty years ago. In principle, in the United States, a situation has developed in which the current generation of Americans has not experienced such inflationary growth to the full, especially on the eve of Christmas and Thanksgiving, which in America are now associated with empty shelves due to the supply chain crisis.
In any case, inflation is a direct blow to the living standards of the population, and somewhere in March (this is also important to emphasize), the growth of real wages in America stopped. Although before that for several years under Trump, it was at the very least, but it took place, albeit at a slow pace. As of today, real wages are not growing. And it affects a significant portion of the American population, including ethnic minorities who are Democratic voters.
Another important aspect is that all this was superimposed on the energy crisis, which is also considered to be man-made, since the Biden administration has placed great emphasis on the development of “green” technologies. It turned out about the same situation as in Europe. Steps began to be taken to cut down the traditional sectors of the oil and gas economy to the maximum extent possible, to deprive them of investments and the opportunity to have any prospects. At the same time, green technologies do not always work. This led, in particular, to colossal growth in the prices of gasoline, fuel and lubricants.
Inflation, this scourge that has hit the American economy, has a clear connotation of “Biden inflation.” And that alone could drown the president and his administration.
The growth of crime has sharply complicated life in cities and suburbs – and this is also considered a consequence of the administration's policy related to the possible reform of law enforcement agencies.
There is also a very important point – the internal political crisis. After leaving Afghanistan, Biden lost control of the Democrats in the US Congress. Prior to that, he was a leader in the Democratic Party. Now the party in the House of Representatives and Senate has split into two or three warring factions. And even among the Democrats, the impression was that Biden does not even control his own party.
This is a very serious factor that spreads to public opinion polls. Because the drop in his approval rate among Democrats is also the drop in Biden's rating in national polls.
– Afghanistan was probably the biggest failure. Its consequences are still being felt. The infamous withdrawal from Afghanistan became a symbol of Biden's foreign policy failure on all fronts. Not only the ruling class, but also broad strata of Americans perceive this defeat very painfully.
By the way, in this regard, one gets the impression that Biden may be losing his position as a world leader, at least as the leader of the “collective West.” What, in particular, was shown by the meeting of the G20 in Rome and the environmental summit in Glasgow: it turned out that the ideas put forward by Biden are very coolly perceived even by Western allies, given the fact that the Congress gave nothing to the US President for his visit to Glasgow in relation to its “green” agenda.
Perhaps, against the background of what is happening in Russian-American relations and on the Belarusian-Polish border, one gets the impression that America is retreating in the field of foreign policy actions. And this is due to the weakness of President Biden.
– There is a growing feeling that Biden is a decrepit, incompetent president. That public opinion poll, which was published about a week ago, did not generate much resonance in the American media. Various questions were asked, including what people expect from the president and his administration. Twenty percent of those polled expect Biden to resign or otherwise. There is a widespread belief in the United States that Joe Biden is unlikely to run in the 2024 election. And in general, the impression is growing latently that you can expect resignation.
This situation in America, which lives for the future – what awaits us in 2022 or 2024? – fuels the feeling that Biden has completely exhausted his leadership potential a year after the presidential elections. He is unable to lead the Democratic Party to the 2022 midterm elections due to unsuccessful gubernatorial elections (as was the case recently in Virginia – it ended in complete failure for the Democratic candidate – and even in New Jersey, although there the Democrat barely got re-elected). This also testifies in favor of the feeling that “there is no one in the White House.” In fact, Democrats even believe that Biden is no longer a leader.
Another poll published earlier showed that 44 percent of Democrats polled do not want Biden to be the Democratic candidate for the presidential elections in 2024.
All this predetermines the fall in Biden's ratings. And the idea that even if objective factors work for Biden (for example, they cause a change in the mood of Americans), subjective factors are unlikely to allow the current President of the United States to take advantage of this. The weakness that manifests itself almost every day is too obvious.